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Local martingale

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In mathematics, a local martingale is a type of stochastic process, satisfying the localized version of the martingale property. Every martingale is a local martingale; every bounded local martingale is a martingale; in particular, every local martingale that is bounded from below is a supermartingale, and every local martingale that is bounded from above is a submartingale; however, in general a local martingale is not a martingale, because its expectation can be distorted by large values of small probability. In particular, a driftless diffusion process is a local martingale, but not necessarily a martingale.

Contents

Local martingales are essential in stochastic analysis, see Itō calculus, semimartingale, Girsanov theorem.

Definition

Let (Ω, FP) be a probability space; let F = { Ft | t ≥ 0 } be a filtration of F; let X : [0, +∞) × Ω → S be an F-adapted stochastic process on set S. Then X is called an F-local martingale if there exists a sequence of F-stopping times τk : Ω → [0, +∞) such that

  • the τk are almost surely increasing: P[τk < τk+1] = 1;
  • the τk diverge almost surely: P[τk → +∞ as k → +∞] = 1;
  • the stopped process
  • is an F-martingale for every k.

    Example 1

    Let Wt be the Wiener process and T = min{ t : Wt = −1 } the time of first hit of −1. The stopped process Wmin{ tT } is a martingale; its expectation is 0 at all times, nevertheless its limit (as t → ∞) is equal to −1 almost surely (a kind of gambler's ruin). A time change leads to a process

    X t = { W min ( t 1 t , T ) for  0 t < 1 , 1 for  1 t < .

    The process X t is continuous almost surely; nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous,

    E X t = { 0 for  0 t < 1 , 1 for  1 t < .

    This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as τ k = min { t : X t = k } if there is such t, otherwise τk = k. This sequence diverges almost surely, since τk = k for all k large enough (namely, for all k that exceed the maximal value of the process X). The process stopped at τk is a martingale.

    Example 2

    Let Wt be the Wiener process and ƒ a measurable function such that E | f ( W 1 ) | < . Then the following process is a martingale:

    X t = E ( f ( W 1 ) | F t ) = { f 1 t ( W t ) for  0 t < 1 , f ( W 1 ) for  1 t < ;

    here

    f s ( x ) = E f ( x + W s ) = f ( x + y ) 1 2 π s e y 2 / ( 2 s ) .

    The Dirac delta function δ (strictly speaking, not a function), being used in place of f , leads to a process defined informally as Y t = E ( δ ( W 1 ) | F t ) and formally as

    Y t = { δ 1 t ( W t ) for  0 t < 1 , 0 for  1 t < ,

    where

    δ s ( x ) = 1 2 π s e x 2 / ( 2 s ) .

    The process Y t is continuous almost surely (since W 1 0 almost surely), nevertheless, its expectation is discontinuous,

    E Y t = { 1 / 2 π for  0 t < 1 , 0 for  1 t < .

    This process is not a martingale. However, it is a local martingale. A localizing sequence may be chosen as τ k = min { t : Y t = k } .

    Example 3

    Let Z t be the complex-valued Wiener process, and

    X t = ln | Z t 1 | .

    The process X t is continuous almost surely (since Z t does not hit 1, almost surely), and is a local martingale, since the function u ln | u 1 | is harmonic (on the complex plane without the point 1). A localizing sequence may be chosen as τ k = min { t : X t = k } . Nevertheless, the expectation of this process is non-constant; moreover,

    E X t   as t ,

    which can be deduced from the fact that the mean value of ln | u 1 | over the circle | u | = r tends to infinity as r . (In fact, it is equal to ln r for r ≥ 1 but to 0 for r ≤ 1).

    Martingales via local martingales

    Let M t be a local martingale. In order to prove that it is a martingale it is sufficient to prove that M t τ k M t in L1 (as k ) for every t, that is, E | M t τ k M t | 0 ; here M t τ k = M t τ k is the stopped process. The given relation τ k implies that M t τ k M t almost surely. The dominated convergence theorem ensures the convergence in L1 provided that

    ( ) E sup k | M t τ k | <    for every t.

    Thus, Condition (*) is sufficient for a local martingale M t being a martingale. A stronger condition

    ( ) E sup s [ 0 , t ] | M s | <    for every t

    is also sufficient.

    Caution. The weaker condition

    sup s [ 0 , t ] E | M s | <    for every t

    is not sufficient. Moreover, the condition

    sup t [ 0 , ) E e | M t | <

    is still not sufficient; for a counterexample see Example 3 above.

    A special case:

    M t = f ( t , W t ) ,

    where W t is the Wiener process, and f : [ 0 , ) × R R is twice continuously differentiable. The process M t is a local martingale if and only if f satisfies the PDE

    ( t + 1 2 2 x 2 ) f ( t , x ) = 0.

    However, this PDE itself does not ensure that M t is a martingale. In order to apply (**) the following condition on f is sufficient: for every ε > 0 and t there exists C = C ( ε , t ) such that

    | f ( s , x ) | C e ε x 2

    for all s [ 0 , t ] and x R .

    References

    Local martingale Wikipedia