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Predictable process

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In stochastic analysis, a part of the mathematical theory of probability, a predictable process is a stochastic process whose value is knowable at a prior time. The predictable processes form the smallest class that is closed under taking limits of sequences and contains all adapted left-continuous processes.

Contents

Discrete-time process

Given a filtered probability space ( Ω , F , ( F n ) n N , P ) , then a stochastic process ( X n ) n N is predictable if X n + 1 is measurable with respect to the σ-algebra F n for each n.

Continuous-time process

Given a filtered probability space ( Ω , F , ( F t ) t 0 , P ) , then a continuous-time stochastic process ( X t ) t 0 is predictable if X , considered as a mapping from Ω × R + , is measurable with respect to the σ-algebra generated by all left-continuous adapted processes.

Examples

  • Every deterministic process is a predictable process.
  • Every continuous-time adapted process that is left continuous is a predictable process.
  • References

    Predictable process Wikipedia