Neha Patil (Editor)

43rd Canadian federal election

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On or before October 21, 2019 (On or before October 21, 2019)  44th →
99 seats, 31.89%  44 seats, 19.71%
97  44
184 seats, 39.47%  99 seats, 31.89%
180  97
10 seats, 4.66%  1 seat, 3.45%
43rd Canadian federal election

The 43rd Canadian federal election (formally the 43rd Canadian general election) is scheduled to take place on or before October 21, 2019. The October 21 date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date procedures in the Canada Elections Act but the Act does not preclude the Governor General of Canada from issuing the writs of election at an earlier date.

Contents

Background

The 2015 federal election resulted in a Liberal majority government headed by Justin Trudeau. The Conservatives became the Official Opposition (with Stephen Harper announcing his resignation as party leader) and the New Democrats (NDP) became the third party. While members of the Bloc Québécois and the Greens were elected to the House, both failed to achieve the required number of MPs for official party status and BQ leader Gilles Duceppe announcing his resignation shortly after the election.

Due to Tom Mulcair failing his April 2016 leadership review by garnering only 48% of the delegate vote, the NDP will hold a leadership election in October 2017.

Electoral reform

In June 2015, Justin Trudeau pledged to reform the electoral system if elected, saying, "We are committed to ensuring that 2015 is the last election held under first-past-the-post." Due to all opposition parties but the Conservatives being in favour of such reform, it is possible that a different voting system will be in place before the next federal election. In February 2017, however, the Liberal party dropped support for electoral reform, issuing a mandate to newly appointed Minister of Democratic Institutions Karina Gould saying "A clear preference for a new electoral system, let alone a consensus, has not emerged. [...] Changing the electoral system will not be in your mandate."

Incumbent MPs not running for re-election

The following MPs have announced that they will not be running in the next federal election:

New Democratic Party

  • Thomas Mulcair (Outremont)
  • 2015

  • October 19, 2015: The Liberal Party of Canada wins a majority government in the 42nd Canadian federal election. Outgoing Prime Minister Stephen Harper announces his intention to resign as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.
  • October 22, 2015: Gilles Duceppe resigns as leader of the Bloc Québécois and is replaced on an interim-basis by Rivière-du-Nord MP Rhéal Fortin.
  • November 4, 2015: Justin Trudeau is sworn in as Prime Minister of Canada.
  • November 5, 2015: Sturgeon River—Parkland MP and former cabinet minister Rona Ambrose is elected interim Conservative leader.
  • December 3, 2015: The 42nd Parliament is convened.
  • 2016

  • March 23, 2016: Jim Hillyer, Conservative MP for Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, passes away after an apparent heart attack, triggering a by-election in his riding.
  • April 10, 2016: 52% of delegates at the 2016 NDP convention voted in support of a leadership review motion to hold a new leadership race within 24 months. Party leader Tom Mulcair announces he will stay on as leader until his replacement is chosen.
  • May 31, 2016: Hunter Tootoo, Liberal MP for Nunavut, resigns from the Liberal caucus, becoming an independent, to seek treatment for addiction.
  • August 16, 2016: Mauril Bélanger, Liberal MP for Ottawa—Vanier, passes away from ALS, triggering a by-election in his riding.
  • August 26, 2016: Former Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper resigns as MP for Calgary Heritage, triggering a by-election.
  • September 9, 2016: Strength in Democracy, a party which had three incumbent MPs among its 17 candidates in the last election is deregistered by Elections Canada for failure to file papers maintaining its party status.
  • September 23, 2016: Conservative Jason Kenney resigns as MP for Calgary Midnapore to seek the leadership of the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta, triggering a by-election in his riding.
  • October 24, 2016: Conservative candidate Glen Motz wins a by-election in Medicine Hat—Cardston—Warner, holding the seat for his party.
  • 2017

  • January 31, 2017: Stéphane Dion, Liberal MP for Saint-Laurent, resigns to accept an appointment as Ambassador to the European Union and to Germany. On the same day, John McCallum, Liberal MP for Markham—Thornhill, resigns to accept an appointment as Ambassador to China. This triggers two by-elections in their respective ridings.
  • April 22, 2017: The Bloc Quebecois will elect their new leader.
  • May 27, 2017: The Conservative Party of Canada will elect their next leader.
  • October 1 to October 29, 2017: Time frame within which the New Democratic Party will elect their next leader.
  • Opinion polls

    In the 42nd Canadian Election, pollsters managed to predict the election result accurately. In the immediate aftermath of the vote, support for Trudeau's Liberals increased significantly at the expense of the Conservatives and the NDP, with the latter dropping to their lowest level in a decade.

    Election spending

    Before the campaign, there were no limits to what a political party, candidate, or third party (corporations, unions, special interest groups, etc.) can spend: spending rules are only in force after the writs have been dropped and the campaign has begun.

    Reimbursements for political parties and candidates

    Political parties receive a reimbursement for 50 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Similarly, electoral district associations receive a reimbursement of 60 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Both reimbursements are publicly funded.

    Registered third parties

    A person or group must register as a third party immediately after incurring election advertising expenses totalling $500 or more. There are strict limits on advertising expenses, and specific limits that can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district. Registered third parties are subject to an election advertising expenses limit of $150,000. Of that amount, no more than $8,788 can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district.

    References

    43rd Canadian federal election Wikipedia


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