November 8, 2016 2020 → 29 0 49.02% 47.82% | Turnout 74.5% 4,617,886 4,504,975 Date 8 November 2016 | |
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Trump
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90% Clinton
50-60%
60-70% | ||
The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was won by Donald Trump on November 8, 2016 with a plurality of 49.0% of the popular vote, over Hillary Clinton with 47.8%. Florida's 29 electoral votes were assigned to Trump.
Contents
On March 15, 2016, in the presidential primaries, Florida voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Libertarian, America's Party, Constitution, and Socialism and Liberation parties' respective nominees for President (Green on July 31). Registered members of each party only voted in their party's primary, while voters who were unaffiliated weren't able to vote in any primaries. Florida is a winner-take-all voting state for Republicans, but is a proportional voting state for Democrats. Trump won the Republican presidential primary in Florida, while Clinton won the Democratic primary in the state.
Debates and Forums
March 9, 2016 – Kendall, Florida
The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Kendall, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post. The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen." The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015.
Results
Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:
Forums and Debates
March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida
The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida, Illinois, North Carolina, Missouri, and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami, moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash, Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt, and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan. The Washington Times cohosted the debate. The debate was originally scheduled considering the unlikelihood that a candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field. On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign." This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15.
Results
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:
Green primary
The Green Party held a primary in Florida on July 31, 2016. Early voting began on July 25.
On July 31, 2016, the Green Party of Florida announced that Jill Stein had won the Florida primary via instant-runoff voting.
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Florida as of Election Day.
- Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton
- CNN: Tossup
- Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Clinton
- NBC: Tossup
- Electoral-vote.com: Tossup
- RealClearPolitics: Tossup
- Fox News: Tossup
- ABC: Tossup
By county
Final results from Florida Division of Elections.
Analysis
Florida voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 1.2%. Prior to the election, the majority of news networks considered it a toss-up, while some considered it as leaning Democrat, and it was one of the closest states, with only Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania closer. Hillary Clinton received 47.8% of the vote, compared to Donald Trump's 49.0%. The Republican Party received 612,923 more popular votes in the primaries than the Democratic Party, whereas in 2008, the Republican Party had only received 368,044 more votes than the Democratic Party. President Trump's victory in the state also means Florida has voted Republican in 7 of the last 10 presidential elections, tilting it to a more Republican-leaning swing state.
Trump's narrow victory continued Florida's tradition of being a swing state in presidential elections, having not voted for a losing candidate since 1992.