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Sixth austerity package (Greece)

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Territorial extent
  
Greece

Introduced by
  
Government of Greece

Enacted by
  
Hellenic Parliament

Sixth austerity package (Greece)

Date passed
  
12 February 2012 (For: 199; Against: 74; 5 Abstentions)

The Sixth austerity package is part of the countermeasures of the Greek government to counter the Greek government-debt crisis. It was approved by the Hellenic Parliament in February 2012.

Contents

Negotiations about a fifth austerity package (October 2011 – January 2012)

In October 2011, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou got parliamentary backing for further austerity measures. These new measures would allow Greece to get an extra instalment of international loans, a second bailout package, that would prevent a sovereign default and they would make possible the partial write-off of Greek debt, the so-called private sector involvement (PSI). As a result of this backing, Greece was granted by the EU a quid pro quo of further austerity for a €100bn loan and a 50% debt reduction through PSI.

Within a week, Papandreou, backed unanimously by his cabinet, announced a referendum on the deal, sending shockwaves through the financial markets. This resulted in Germany's chancellor Angela Merkel and France's prime minister Nicolas Sarkozy issuing an ultimatum declaring that, unless the referendum resulted in the approval of the new measures, they would withhold an overdue €6bn loan payment to Athens, money that Greece needed by mid-December. Papandreou cancelled the referendum the next day after the New Democracy Party, leaders of the opposition, agreed to back the agreement.

On 10 November Papandreou resigned as prime minister following an agreement with the New Democracy party and the Popular Orthodox Rally to appoint a new prime minister of common acceptance promulgate laws associated with implementing the new measures that were agreed with the EU. The person chosen for this task was non-MP technocrat Lucas Papademos, former Governor of the Bank of Greece and former Vice-President of the European Central Bank; his appointment was criticised by left-wing parties and branded "unconstitutional". By contrast, three separate polls taken when Papademos assumed office revealed that around 75% of Greeks thought that temporary, emergency technocratic rule was "positive".

The EU insisted that whichever government was elected after Papademos in 2012, it must be bound to honour the agreed upon EU-IMF austerity strategy. It thus demanded that Greek party-political leaders sign legally binding letters to this effect, as well as to any additional measures that might be required in future as part of the second rescue-package. Papademos argued in favour of signing, even in the face of opposition from major pro-austerity factions in his government. Such letters would bind Greek governments to austerity and structural adjustment through to 2020. It was announced that the general election to replace Papademos' technocratic administration was to be delayed until April, or even May 2012 because more time was needed to finalise plans for austerity and structural adjustment, as well as to complete negotiations over the Greek debt reduction.

Finalising the deal on the 50% PSI debt write-off, required by the troika as a condition for extending more aid, proved difficult in early 2012, with hedge funds being the most difficult to persuade. In an interview with The New York Times, Papademos said that if his country did not receive unanimous agreement from its bondholders to voluntarily write down €100bn of Greek's €340bn debt, he would consider legislating to force bondholder losses, and that if things went well, Greeks could expect "an end to austerity" in 2013. Others believed that even the proposed 50% would not be enough to prevent a sovereign default.

Approval by the Hellenic Parliament (February 2012)

In February 2012, facing sovereign default, Greece was in need of more funds from the IMF and EU by 20 March 2012, and was negotiating over the next lending package, worth €130 billion. On 10 February 2012, the Greek cabinet approved the draft bill of a new austerity plan, which has been calculated to improve the 2012 budget deficit with €3.3 billion (and a further €10 billion improvement scheduled for 2013 and 2014). The austerity plan includes:

  • 22% cut in minimum wage from the current €750 per month.
  • Holiday wage bonuses (one extra months of full wage being paid each year) are permanently cancelled.
  • 150,000 jobs cut from state sector by 2015, of which 15,000 shall be cut by the end of 2012.
  • Pension cuts worth €300 million in 2012.
  • Changes to laws to make it easier to lay off workers.
  • Health and defence spending cuts.
  • Industry sectors are given the right to negotiate lower wages depending on economic development.
  • Opening up closed professions to allow for more competition, particularly in the health, tourism, and real estate sectors.
  • Privatisations worth €15 billion by 2015, including Greek gas companies DEPA and DESFA. In the medium term, the goal remains at €50 billion.
  • The latest round of austerity measures means Greece will likely face at least another year of recession, presaging another round of business closures, before the economy will start to grow again, and foreign observers were shocked by both the cold-heartedness of German negotiators and a perceived lack of integrity on Greece's behalf because of Greece not honoring its commitments.

    Showing position of disagreement, the transport minister Makis Voridis from the Popular Orthodox Rally party, along with five deputy ministers from various ministries, decided to resign. On 11 February, caretaker prime minister Lucas Papademos warned of "social explosion and chaos" if the parliament would not approve the deal the next day. Speaking to members of Parliament before their vote, Papademos stated that if the majority of them chose to vote against the austerity measures there would be several onerous consequences, including that the government would not be able to pay the salaries of its employees. On 13 February, the Greek Parliament subsequently approved this latest round of austerity measures by a vote of 199 to 74. During the period of parliamentary debate, massive protests were witnessed in Athens that left stores looted and burned and more than 120 people injured. The riot was one of the worst since 2010.

    Despite being one of the ruling parties, the Popular Orthodox Rally voted against the plan and withdrew itself from the government. Forty-three MPs from the other two ruling parties (social democratic PASOK and conservative New Democracy) also voted against the plan and were immediately expelled from their parties. This reduced the combined power of these two parties from 236 to 193 seats, which is still majority for the 300-seat parliament of Greece. The vote was a major precondition for the EU and IMF to jointly release the funds, which are supposed to cover all financial needs in 2012 and 2013, with the hope that Greece can start lending again at the private capital markets in 2014.

    The determination of the leaders of Greek ruling parties to implement the new austerity package was however doubted. For example, Antonis Samaras (leader of New Democracy) talked about renegotiating the deal, despite voting for the austerity package. Because of such uncertainty, the Eurozone finance ministers demanded Greek main politicians to sign a written assurance for their continued support to implement the austerity package, both before and after any elections.

    After passing the new austerity package on 13 February, there still remained four other hurdles for Greece, to receive the new €130 billion bailout loan:

  • €325 million out of the total €3.3 billion austerity package for 2012 still needed to be specified in the form of some exact "structural expenditure reductions", to be outlined and passed by a separate political bill.
  • Written commitments from the main party leaders should be filed, to guarantee their continued support for the austerity program, both before and after elections in April 2012.
  • The debt restructure agreement, with a debt write-off worth €107 billion, needs to be implemented by a bond swap in early March 2012, involving minimum 95% of the private creditors. Under the terms of the deal, all the holders (banks, pension funds, insurers and others) of €206 billion in Greek government bonds, would have to -if they accept the deal either voluntarily or by a collective action clause- write down the face value of their holdings by 53.5%, by swapping bonds they hold for longer-dated securities that pay a lower coupon. When calculated for the bonds with the longest maturity, the 53.5% haircut of face value, will be equal to a 74% loss on the net present value of the debt.
  • A debt sustainability report by the Troika, based upon the full implementation of the latest austerity package and the debt restructure agreement, needs to show a sustainable outlook for the Greek economy, with the debt relative to GDP being reduced to 120% in 2020.
  • As of 19 February, Greece had managed to pass the first two hurdles. The debt restructure agreement and the result of the debt sustainability report was however still pending. Some of the newest calculations suggested that Greece would now need an enhanced bailout at €136 billion, and they were still likely to exceed the 120% debt level in 2020. It is now up to the Troika to decide if this can be accepted under the previous terms. Alternatively, the slightly worse outlook for the debt numbers can also be counterfeited, by some further debt restructuring and/or demands for additional austerity measures.

    References

    Sixth austerity package (Greece) Wikipedia