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Navarrese parliamentary election, 2015

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Registered
  
501,267 3.3%

30 November 2014
  
3 October 2014

19 seats, 34.5%
  
8 seats, 15.4%

Date
  
24 May 2015

Turnout
  
342,173 (68.3%) 0.9 pp

3 October 2014
  
11 October 2014

8 seats, 15.4%
  
7 seats, 13.3%

Location
  
Navarre, Spain


Other Instances
  
Navarrese parliamentary election, 2011

Winner
  
Uxue Barkos

The 2015 Navarrese parliamentary election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of Navarre, the unicameral regional legislature of the Spanish autonomous community of Navarre. At stake were all 50 seats in the Parliament, determining the President of Navarre.

Contents

The election was held concurrently with the regional elections for 12 other autonomous communities, as well as the 2015 municipal elections.

Outgoing President Yolanda Barcina, having first been elected in 2011, announced on 10 November 2014 that she would not seek re-election for a second term in office. This election was held after 19 years of uninterrupted UPN rule and marked the end of one of the most unstable parliamentary terms in the recent history of Navarre.

Electoral system

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected in a single multi-member district, consisting of the Community's territory (the province of Navarre), using the D'Hondt method and a closed-list proportional representation system.

Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage in a secret ballot. Only lists polling above 3% of the total vote in all of the community (which include blank ballots—for none of the above) were entitled to enter the seat distribution.

As per article 12 of the Navarrese Electoral Law, election day was set for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. From the 2001 reform of Navarre's Statute of Autonomy, the President of Navarre could dissolve Parliament and call for a snap election at a time different than the legally established date, but was barred from doing so when less than one year remained for the next election's scheduled date. New elections would also be automatically held in the event of a parliamentary deadlock in the election of a new President for three months after voting day. Before the 2001 reform, the head of the largest parliamentary party became President if no candidate obtained a majority within 90 days. In both cases, the newly elected Parliament would have a full mandate for a four-year period.

Background

The 2011 regional election had resulted in a coalition agreement between Navarrese People's Union and the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, with UPN leader Yolanda Barcina being elected as President. However, tension remained frequent between both coalition partners, and in June 2012, PSN-PSOE leader and then-Vice President of Navarre Roberto Jiménez' questioning of a UPN's decision to pass an additional budget cut of 132 billion euros resulted in his expulsion from Barcina's Cabinet. The PSOE withdrew from the regional government, leaving UPN in minority. As a consequence, with the left-wing opposition commanding a majority in Parliament, political instability marked the remainder of the legislature, with the government being unable to pass its bills into law or to successfully approve further budgets.

The eruption of the Caja Navarra scandal in early 2013, involving President Barcina and other UPN high-ranking members, resulted in an ill-fated attempt by Bildu and Aralar / Nafarroa Bai to bring forward a censure motion against Yolanda Barcina, which had no realistic prospect of succeeding because of PSN abstention. Additionally, dissent within Barcina's party materialized with party Vice President Alberto Catalán forcing a leadership election in March 2013 which Barcina was only narrowly able to win. In February 2014, Finance Counselor Lourdes Goicoechea was accused of influence peddling within the regional Treasury, prompting Roberto Jiménez to threaten Barcina with a censure motion if she did not voluntarily call for a snap regional election. The PSOE national leadership, however, explicitly forbid its regional branch from reaching any kind of agreement that needed Bildu's support, and Jiménez backed down on his threat as a consequence.

The PSN-PSOE was severely mauled in the same year European Parliament election, winning just 14.5% compared to the 31.5% it had won in 2009, and losing over half of its 2009 votes (31,629 compared to 63,848 in 2009). Roberto Jiménez resigned as PSN leader, being succeeded by María Chivite. The abertzale left represented under EH Bildu's flag, on the other hand, became the second political force of the community for the first time ever, with 20.2% of the vote.

Podemos' emergence in opinion polls marked the end of the legislature and into 2015. Yolanda Barcina, initially widely scheduled to stand for re-election, announced on 10 November 2014 that she would not stand for a second term as President of Navarre. A primary election was held on 29 November 2014, in which incumbent Local Government Counselor José Javier Esparza defeated Alberto Catalán and became UPN candidate for the 2015 parliamentary election.

Vote estimations

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Parliamentary seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Color key:

  Exit poll

References

Navarrese parliamentary election, 2015 Wikipedia